Wednesday, April 29, 2020

NSE Indices movement analysis 29 April 2020


NSE Indices movement analysis 29 April 2020


Below is a brief snapshot of indices fall from 20 Jan 2020 highs to 24 March 2020 and then up move.
Index
20-Jan-20
24-Mar-20
29-Apr-20
%age fall
%age rise
Net move
Nifty 50
12430
7511
9553.35
-40%
27%
-23%
Nifty Next 50
28754
18720
23624.05
-35%
26%
-18%
NIFTY MIDCAP 50
4945
2975
3650
-40%
23%
-26%
NIFTY SMLCAP 50
3036
1611
1916.05
-47%
19%
-37%
Nifty Auto
8353
4694
5543.75
-44%
18%
-34%
Nifty Bank
31081
17017
21090.2
-45%
24%
-32%
Nifty Energy
15855
10024
12611.55
-37%
26%
-20%
Nifty Financial Services
14360
8419
10292.9
-41%
22%
-28%
Nifty FMCG
31427
23971
28665
-24%
20%
-9%
Nifty IT
16207
11865
13424.95
-27%
13%
-17%
Nifty Media
1836
1032
1165.95
-44%
13%
-36%
Nifty Metal
2835
1502
1724
-47%
15%
-39%
Nifty Pharma
8294
6611
8385
-20%
27%
1%
Nifty Realty
326
171
183.00
-48%
7%
-44%
Reliance
1609
943
1427
-41%
51%
-11%

Indices fallen more than Nifty 50 are highlighted in light red and indices rose more than Nifty 50 are in light green colour.
Key points
1.       Nifty Pharma is above 20 Jan 2020 closing price giving us net +ive return.
2.       Indices fallen less than Nifty 50 (at -23%) from 20 Jan 2020 are
a.       Nifty Pharma at +1%
b.       Nifty FMCG at -9%
c.       Nifty IT at -17%
d.       Nifty Next 50 at -18%.
3.       %age rise from 24 March 2020 lows
a.       Nifty Pharma at 27%
b.       Nifty Next 50 at 26%
c.       Nifty Energy at 26%
d.       Nifty 50 at 26%

Some observations

1.       Nifty Next 50 is outperforming Nifty 50 after a long time.
2.       Most of gains in Nifty 50 are from Reliance only
3.       Nifty FMCG while has not fallen during Jan-March 2020, it did not give good gains from March lows.
4.       Nifty Pharma is net +ive from 20 Jan 2020 high
5.       Nifty Mid caps behaved much better in the fall by underperforming Nifty 50 by 3 percent only. Midcaps have been in downtrend since Jan 2018 highs.

We need to analyse top 200 stocks move also to see where money is flown out and now coming in. Will publish that soon.




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